ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems

The ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems is a peer-reviewed scientific journal established in 2014 by the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) and the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME). It disseminates research findings, best practices concerns, and discussions and debates on risk- and uncertainty-related issues in the areas of civil and mechanical engineering and related fields. ASCE and ASME registered the two parts as separate journals as:

Part A: Civil Engineering & Part B: Mechanical Engineering

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April 6, 2022 · 1 min · 32 words · Torsten Ilsemann

Special Collection on Geotechnical Uncertainty Quantification and Reliability Analysis in the Digital Era: New Paradigms, Methods, and Applications (SC077A)

Submit Paper » Description The digital era is reshaping geotechnical uncertainty quantification (UQ) and reliability analysis through modern sensing, continuous monitoring, high-performance computing, and digital-twin ecosystems. Practice is increasingly data-rich, yet still challenged by sparse/biased data, nonstationarity, and complex ground–structure interactions. Meanwhile, the rapid integration of machine learning with physics-based and probabilistic models raises new demands for rigor, transparency, data efficiency, and deployability. This Special Collection seeks original research and practice-oriented advances that (i) separate, represent, propagate, and reduce uncertainty from site characterization and design to construction and operation, and (ii) translate uncertainty into decision-ready reliability and risk metrics. Contributions featuring verification/validation, uncertainty-aware interpretability, and reproducible workflows or well-documented datasets/case studies are particularly encouraged. ...

February 24, 2026 · 3 min · 453 words · Torsten Ilsemann

Special Collection on Reliability and Risk Management of Infrastructure Systems (SC078A)

Submit Paper » Description This Special Collection (SC) aims to provide a dedicated space for the in-depth exploration and dissemination of advancements in reliability-based, risk-based, and uncertainty-informed decision-making. The primary goal of this SC is to showcase emerging developments that address reliability and risk management to enhance the resilience and sustainability of our infrastructure systems and built environment. Contributions are expected to present key ideas, concepts, and technologies for solving significant challenges posed by the high complexity and multidisciplinary nature of problems as well as the comprehensive quantification, efficient processing, and management of induced uncertainties. By establishing this SC, we aim to foster a collaborative environment that encourages researchers to share insights and innovations in the multifaceted fields of risk, uncertainty, and decision-making within infrastructure systems. ...

February 20, 2026 · 3 min · 450 words · Torsten Ilsemann

Newsletter November 2025 📩

ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems - Call for Papers Part A: Civil Engineering, and Part B. Mechanical Engineering The Editorial Board of the ASCE-ASME Journal invites contributions presenting state-of-the-art research and best practices for addressing risk, disaster and failure-related challenges arising from uncertainty. We particularly welcome emerging research relating to availability and processing of big data, including data driven decision support, machine learning and further computational intelligence tools relating to risk and uncertainty. ...

November 4, 2025 · 13 min · 2628 words · Eleni Chatzi

Special Collection on Advances in Bayesian Approaches for Reliability Updating of Safety-Critical Structures Under Limited Data (SC076A)

Submit Paper » Description Reliability is a key aspect of safety-critical structures and systems such as bridges, aircrafts, dams, and nuclear structural facilities. For this reason, the performance of such structures and systems needs to be assessed via reliability analysis, to ensure they operate safely and, in turn, protect lives. Given that reliability analysis is data-driven in nature, a significant challenge is the limited information availability, such as: 1) component reliability data; and 2) model-form certainty over the structure/system. These introduce uncertainty in the analysis, which is present in real-world engineering problems. Hence, the reliability analysis is often accompanied by an uncertainty analysis, which can be performed via the Bayesian approach. ...

August 25, 2025 · 3 min · 534 words · Torsten Ilsemann

Special Collection on Large Language Models for Engineering Risk and Uncertainty: Applications in Fault Diagnosis and Predictive Maintenance (SC075A)

Submit Paper » Description The emergence of large language models (LLMs) and multimodal foundation models has revolutionized traditional approaches to risk assessment and predictive maintenance in engineering systems. These AI systems demonstrate unprecedented capabilities in processing heterogeneous data streams - from textual maintenance logs and equipment manuals to time-series sensor data and visual inspection reports - enabling comprehensive fault diagnosis across civil infrastructure (e.g., bridges, dams, power grids) and mechanical systems (e.g., rotating machinery, HVAC systems, industrial robots). However, the deployment of LLMs in safety-critical engineering applications introduces profound challenges that demand urgent research attention. First, the probabilistic nature of LLMs leads to inherent epistemic uncertainty in fault diagnosis, compounded by issues of model hallucination when interpreting sparse or noisy field data. Second, the black-box decision-making process of current models creates significant barriers to engineering validation, particularly in regulated industries where traceable risk assessment is mandatory. Third, the dynamic operating conditions of engineering systems (e.g., seasonal load variations in civil infrastructure or wear progression in mechanical components) require continuous model adaptation while maintaining operational safety margins. This special issue seeks to address these challenges through cutting-edge research at the intersection of AI reliability and engineering risk management. ...

August 1, 2025 · 3 min · 511 words · Torsten Ilsemann

🌟 Welcome to the New Cycle of the Early Career Editorial Board (ECEB)

The ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering is pleased to announce the launch of a new cycle of its Early Career Editorial Board (ECEB). Following the great success of the previous two cycles, this initiative continues to provide a unique opportunity for early career researchers to contribute to editorial leadership while gaining invaluable insight into the scholarly publishing process. The ECEB program is designed to support researchers within 1–3 years of earning their doctoral degree who have demonstrated excellence in scholarship and a commitment to advancing the journal’s mission. Selected members participate in a range of editorial tasks under the mentorship of the journal’s associate editors and leadership team. ...

July 7, 2025 · 2 min · 384 words · Torsten Ilsemann

Newsletter May 2025 📩

ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems - Call for Papers Part A: Civil Engineering, and Part B. Mechanical Engineering The Editorial Board of the ASCE-ASME Journal invites contributions presenting state-of-the-art research and best practices for addressing risk, disaster and failure-related challenges arising from uncertainty. We particularly welcome emerging research relating to availability and processing of big data, including data driven decision support, machine learning and further computational intelligence tools relating to risk and uncertainty. ...

May 26, 2025 · 13 min · 2557 words · Eleni Chatzi

2024 Bilal M. Ayyub Research Award Winners Announced

We are delighted to announce the recipients of the 2024 Bilal M. Ayyub Research Award for Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, recognizing the best papers published in our journal this year. The award highlights outstanding scholarly contributions to the advancement of risk and uncertainty analysis in engineering systems. 📰 Best Paper in Part A: Civil Engineering Title: Risk Tolerance, Aversion, and Economics of Energy Utilities in Community Resilience to Wildfires Authors: Bilal M. Ayyub, Ramsay M. Raven, David R. Johnson, Jennifer Helgeson, Yumi Suzuki, Vincent R. Tidwell Published: June 2024 DOI: 10.1061/AJRUA6.RUENG-1254 ...

May 15, 2025 · 2 min · 282 words · Torsten Ilsemann

Special Issue on Cognitive Digital Twins for Predictive Maintenance: Uncertainty and Risk Analysis (SI074B)

Submit Paper » The rapid evolution of mechanical systems and increasing industrial complexity have driven the need for advanced predictive maintenance strategies. Cognitive Digital Twins (CDTs), integrating AI, real-time data analytics, and cognitive computing, have emerged as a transformative solution. Unlike traditional digital twins, CDTs can learn, reason, and adapt, enabling more accurate and dynamic predictive maintenance. However, their reliability is challenged by modeling uncertainties, sensor noise, environmental variability, and unforeseen operational conditions. ...

March 10, 2025 · 2 min · 378 words · Torsten Ilsemann
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